Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 3.389431 3.599892 3.822344 4.075955 4.358283 4.664335 5.023104
2025-10-05 3.066570 3.365781 3.700005 4.104924 4.587680 5.152059 5.873010
2025-10-12 2.891986 3.242971 3.649697 4.163605 4.807375 5.604315 6.695018
2025-10-19 2.763822 3.151883 3.614919 4.220465 5.011463 6.041216 7.543215
2025-10-26 2.648254 3.061456 3.566410 4.246062 5.166402 6.419400 8.358502
2025-11-02 2.533062 2.960522 3.493135 4.227305 5.252272 6.703346 9.073180
2025-11-09 2.396111 2.822370 3.360927 4.116282 5.194961 6.768112 9.448381
2025-11-16 2.290136 2.717349 3.264249 4.044132 5.182578 6.892504 9.934535
2025-11-23 2.234015 2.673339 3.244427 4.074925 5.319705 7.258285 10.902278
2025-11-30 2.175082 2.621994 3.210751 4.081886 5.418919 7.571709 11.836878
2025-12-07 2.077570 2.514636 3.094708 3.961365 5.309581 7.522644 12.046854
2025-12-14 1.991456 2.419331 2.991065 3.852921 5.210544 7.479796 12.260607
2025-12-21 1.924105 2.350012 2.924725 3.802433 5.210782 7.629625 12.967167
2025-12-28 1.883065 2.315468 2.906273 3.823799 5.331919 8.017632 14.336820
2026-01-04 1.854720 2.296778 2.908756 3.876270 5.508600 8.534991 16.209599
2026-01-11 1.827828 2.278622 2.910521 3.926818 5.685809 9.081934 18.406775
2026-01-18 1.795074 2.250586 2.895975 3.949564 5.814732 9.550761 20.620273
2026-01-25 1.753975 2.208927 2.858993 3.932898 5.869004 9.866783 22.520829
2026-02-01 1.694007 2.138099 2.775291 3.834139 5.760580 9.800263 23.039003
2026-02-08 1.646125 2.083384 2.714053 3.769856 5.713093 9.869532 24.130132
2026-02-15 1.623848 2.065163 2.707572 3.797301 5.845138 10.387359 27.406377
2026-02-22 1.597595 2.040159 2.689475 3.803504 5.935370 10.820015 30.716437
2026-03-01 1.545646 1.975800 2.608119 3.696013 5.787228 10.617865 30.726060